Commercial building HVAC sales in US to hit $12.3bn by 2021


21 July 2017
Demand for HVAC equipment in commercial buildings in the United States is projected to grow by 3.3% per year to $12.3 billion by 2021, accounting for 58% of all HVAC equipment sales.
Although larger than the residential market, commercial demand gains will increase at a slower rate due to an expected slowdown in commercial construction activity. Competition from used equipment will also restrain sales growth in this market. Still, opportunities for equipment sales will continue to be supported by the need to replace aging equipment. These and other trends are presented in US HVAC Market Forecasts, a new study from The Freedonia Group, a Cleveland-based industry research firm.

The commercial market will remain the larger market for HVAC equipment due to two factors:
  • Commercial buildings often require the use of more than one HVAC unit to effectively cool the entire building, boosting the total number of units installed and creating a large potential replacement market.
  • Commercial HVAC equipment is generally more expensive than equipment used in the residential market, bolstering overall dollar sales.

US demand for HVAC equipment in all markets is forecast to increase 3.9% per year $21.2 billion by 20-21. The majority of expected demand increases will come from ongoing replacement of existing equipment that has reached the end of its operational lifespan with better performing and higher value equipment.
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